IDC A/NZ Server Forecast: x86 on the attack, mainframes holding strong 

Sydney, Australia. Despite interest in cloud computing models, a future where A/NZ organisations no longer buy servers is unlikely to come in the next five years, according to IDC.

"On one hand the Australian server market remains robust and will continue to be so out to 2015, reflecting a positive sentiment across the ICT industry," said Trevor Clarke, senior analyst, infrastructure at IDC.

"However, on the other hand as a result of economic troubles and the impacts of natural disasters, New Zealand organisations will face a tougher 2011 than their peers across the ditch with spending on server platforms tempered. However, NZ spending on servers will also continue to grow until 2015."

IDC's recently released Australia and New Zealand Server Market Analysis and Forecast, 2011–2015 forecasts flat growth in customer revenues across A/NZ as a result of falling prices, although rises will come in unit shipments with a compound annual growth rate to 2015 of 5%, driven particularly by x86 growth.

"Virtualisation and multicore technologies will enable customers to migrate higher-end enterprise workloads from Unix and mainframes to x86 server platforms. This will result in the x86 segment growing faster than all other CPU types and make server systems based on this architecture the most popular across A/NZ," said IDC associate director, infrastructure, Matt Oostveen.

"However, the mainframe and Unix systems will continue to play a part in the market, albeit a less prominent one than in years past. But they are still the bastion of RAS computing in some of the biggest organisations in the region."

IDC is also forecasting an ongoing shift to high density computing based on blade technology and increased interest in integrated infrastructure. Further, linux will continue to take share away from the Windows OS in the next few years.

The Australia and New Zealand Server Market Analysis and Forecast, 2011–2015 presents IDC's server market analysis and forecast for A/NZ including a discussion of the major trends influencing the market, a future outlook and essential guidance for vendors, channels and end users. It is available to purchase here,